Ron's Blog Conroe/Woodlands/Lake Conroe

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Tidbits of info

Here are some facts, predictions and bits of information I have stumbled across the past couple of days while catching up on my reading. You may or may not find them interesting but you just might be surprised.

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) predicts existing home sales of 5.02 million in 2008, 5.32 million in 2009 and 6.2 million in 2010. (Optimism, I love it! All I want is 53 of those closings next year.)

Texas is one of the major states still posting home price increases. (Does buy low and sell high ring a bell?)

U.S. foreclosures are up 27% YTD in 2008 while Texas is down 18% YTD 2008.  (Our foreclosure boom is over if it ever got here.)

NAR predicts 30-year fixed rate mortgages to average 6.2% in the fourth quarter of 2008, rise to 6.5% during the second half of 2009 and average 6.7% in 2010. (Get those credit scores up and buy now.)

Zillow.com accuracy statement indicates that its' median error for Galveston County was 20.9%! That's huge and over $40,000 on a $200,000 home. (Would you use a surgeon whose error rate was that high?)

Texas properties posted for foreclosure in the first half of 2008 were down 17.7% from the same period in 2007. (Please stop asking me to find that foreclosure you can get for half of list price and sell within 30 days for triple what you paid for it.)

Prime and subprime ARM mortgages represent about 20% of all mortgages but 60% of all foreclosures. (Knowing our government they probably commissioned a $10,000,000 study to figure this out.)

The average homeowner can save $180 per year with a programmable thermostat. (Another item for the honey-do list.)

In CNBC's rankings of states' economies Texas came in first. (And Texas Tech will be first in next weeks coaches poll.)

4 commentsRon Wickes • November 11 2008 12:49PM

BMX

I am off to the races!! That's right BMX racing at Armadillo Downs in Conroe. The BEST BMX racing around. This is where I recent olympian Kyle raced. I will pass along a race report tomorrow. My grandson is racing!! Best wishes to all the racers! Hey they even have an over age 50 group. I think I'll pass. Come on out and enjoy the racing!

0 commentsRon Wickes • August 23 2008 05:37PM

Credit Repair - Your Client???

 

I have a question for the almost 56,000 real estate agents, the almost 9,000 loan officers on Active Rain and all of the consumers who read it. I will tell you in advance that I do have my own self-interest in mind when asking this question. Honesty is the best policy. My question is: “Why are not more real estate agents and loan officers embracing legitimate credit repair and recommending it to their credit challenged customers?
Pure and simple that is the question. In today's mortgage with the requirement for higher credit scores is this not a viable option? I would appreciate your forthright answers. There will be two other parts to this blog series. Part 2 will be a summary of your answers. Part 3 will be some facts and figures as to why you should embrace it and how you can embrace it to EARN yourself more money ($) and ultimately, fulfill your client’s dream of home ownership. After all I do not think at this moment in time any of us wants to tell or can afford to tell a prospect to Rent In Peace.
Thanks in advance for all of your great responses!
4 commentsRon Wickes • August 20 2008 07:55AM

Texas Veterans Land Board - interest rates

The new interest rates for loans through the Texas Veterans Land Board for housing and home improvement loans this week are as follows:

6.12% Base Rate applies to all loans with a term greater than 15 years.

  • Available Discounts to Base Rate*
    Discount for loans with a term of 15 years or less: None quoted
    Qualified Veterans with Disabilities Program Discount: -.25%
    Qualified Service Era Discount (Restricted Pool): - None quoted this week

Land program rates are: 7.25% 

I don't know why the other two discounts rates were not quoted this week. Please email me if you have any questions and please call me so that I may help you look for a home. Have a great day. View the Texas Veterans Land Board website and some other informational websites by clicking the links below. Thanks and have a great day!

Ron

Texas Veterans website

Lake Conroe Real Estate

Credit Repair

Program Specifics

2 commentsRon Wickes • August 16 2008 06:02PM

Conroe ISD

 

It is Texas tax free weekend and all of the families are out shopping. I was talking with another agent in the office today and she had stopped by one of our area malls to browse before coming into the office. She said it was packed. (She then started talking about shoes and I left the conversation at that point.) That answered the question as to why the phones weren’t ringing in the office. Tax free weekend equates to low home sales weekend.
But anyway that reminded me that school would be starting pretty soon. I know I use the a school district websites fairly often. I look at the calendars and of course the school menu is the most important webpage on the school district websites. When my grandson spends the night with me once a week we ritually check the school menu to see what is being served the next day. If it isn’t something palatable to him Grandpa is making the good old brown bag lunch. All too often we have forgotten to check the menu when he first gets to my house. When we do forget this early check and don’t check it until 8 in the evening I often run to the frig hoping that I have the correct food for a 10 year old boy’s lunch. Several nights I have considered sending him to school the next day with beer and peanuts or a frozen tv dinner before deciding that the more prudent thing to do was make the late night store run to buy healthy lunch food. JUST kidding about the beer and peanuts!!!! Anyway I thought it would be a good idea to furnish you with the various school district websites that surround the Lake Conroe real estate market. So here are some helpful websites for those of you with kids that attend Conroe ISD.

Where do I go to school?

School menus

Calendars

School closings

Weather

Hurricanes

HAVE A GREAT SCHOOL YEAR!!!!!!!!

0 commentsRon Wickes • August 16 2008 05:13PM

Market Report - June - Montgomery County, TX.

I finally got the June sales numbers. I know it's August and they are a little late. I apologize but it really wasn't my fault. HAR.COM was having some problems with the recent Tempo upgrades. As usual no software change is a good thing when it is initially made. I hope I get used to the new Tempo.

The numbers are not pretty. That is a not pretty fish! I have placed the numbers I consider bad in RED. There are unfortunately a large number of them. But when I look at them I remember what a mortgage banker I respect told me. She told me that the subprime market was a little in excess of 20% in our area. Guess what? We are not down 20%, we are close, but we are not down the full 20%. So I think what we have to do is get our courage back,  our credit scores up and go shop for a new home. Here are the numbers. Drop me an email and let me know what you think please. I also put a real estate joke at the end. I figured your might need some humor after looking at the numbers.

Single Family Residence sales June, 2008 vs June, 2007
       
Single Family Residence Sales (Units)      
MLS Area 2008 % +/- 2007
15 (The Woodlands & West) 417 -15.93% 496
19 (Conroe) 74 -30.84% 107
39 (Montgomery, Willis) 131 -5.07% 138
40 (East County) 36 -44.62% 65
Total County 658   806
% +/- -18.36%    
       
       
Single Family Active Listings end of month      
MLS Area 2008 % +/- 2007
15 (The Woodlands & West) 1,898 1.77% 1,865
19 (Conroe) 619 1.98% 607
39 (Montgomery, Willis) 1,034 -4.08% 1,078
40 (East County) 343 1.18% 339
Total County 3,894   3,889
% +/- 0.13%    
       
       
Average Sales Price      
MLS Area 2008 % +/- 2007
15 (The Woodlands & West) $304,065 5.47% $288,296
19 (Conroe) $144,483 -1.05% $146,009
39 (Montgomery, Willis) $273,579 15.59% $236,674
40 (East County) $140,211 -9.03% $154,135
       
       
Average Days on the Market      
MLS Area 2008 % +/- 2007
15 (The Woodlands & West) 72 9.09% 66
19 (Conroe) 89 39.06% 64
39 (Montgomery, Willis) 93 -11.43% 105
40 (East County) 105 59.09% 66
       
       
Single Family Residence Sales - YTD      
MLS Area 2008 % +/- 2007
15 (The Woodlands & West) 1,858 -15.97% 2,211
19 (Conroe) 475 -22.13% 610
39 (Montgomery, Willis) 605 -20.92% 765
40 (East County) 244 -17.29% 295
Total County 3,182   3,881
% +/- -18.01%    

There is no longer a need for the neutron bomb. We already have something that destroys people and leaves buildings intact. It's called a mortgage.

0 commentsRon Wickes • August 15 2008 09:13PM

Conroe YMCA

It is that time of the year again. School starts in twelve days and that also means it is time to sign-up for fall sports. I highly recommend the Conroe Family YMCA Fall Youth Sprots Program for all kids ages 3 - 15. This fall the Y is offering tackle football, soccer and volleyball. Almost all of the games are played at the Conroe Family YMCA. You will find information on each of the sports below.

Soccer: Ages 3 - 15 boys and girls. Registration is going on now and ends Sept. 13th. Practice starts the week of Sept. 22nd and the first game will probably be played on October 4th. Most games are played on Saturday. Players must have shinpads and cleats are recommended. The season is eight games.

Football: Ages 6 - 12 boys and girls. Registration is going on now and ends on Aug. 30th. Practice starts the week of Sept. 8th, scrimmages Sept. 20th and the first game will be played on Sept. 27th. The season ends on Dec. 6th. There is 10 games in the season. Participants are required to have helmet, shoulder pads, pants and pant pads and cleats. Limited equipment rental is available from the Y starting Aug. 30th.

 

 

 

 

Volleyball: Ages 8 - 15 boys and girls. Registration is going on now and ends on Sept. 13th. Practice starts the week of Sept. 22nd and the first game will probably be played on October 4th. Most games are played on Saturday. The season is 8 games.

AGES: Ages for all sports are as of 9/1/2008!!!

 

COACHES: The YMCA can always use coaches. I'm 58 years old and have coached three sports for three years. I know some of you younger ladies and gentlemen can help out. PLEASE!! The kids are GREAT!! And it is good exercise also.

For information on costs please call the YMCA at 936-441-9622. The Y is located just off South Loop 336 West (by the blinking yellow light) at 10245 Owen Drive, Conroe, TX. 77304.

 

The CONROE Family YMCA is a GREAT place for your kids to play fall aports!!!

And now for the advertisement: Please remember to contact me for all of your real estate needs!

0 commentsRon Wickes • August 15 2008 05:29PM

Credit Repair Links!!

I have been asked by several people who have read some of my credit restoration blogs to provide some additional resources. This particular blog will take care of those requests.

Below you will find three links. The first link is to our short seven minute video on credit repair. The second link connects to our full thirty-three minute association benefits video. We offer over 20 benefits. The final link is to our association's website. Please take some time to review these links. I know you will find them of interest to you and your many credit challenged customers. I can help you the realtor sell more homes by assisting your clients in improving their credit. I have also permenantly placed the links mentioned above on my blogpage.

Please take a few minutes to review the information. I believe you will find it to be of interest. What can you do then? Please email me or have your client do so. I can assist anyone in the US with our very short registration process.

Thanks and have a great day!

Ron

Credit Restoration 7 minute video

Full Membership  Benefits 33 minute video

Our Website

2 commentsRon Wickes • August 15 2008 01:53PM

Mortgage Fees & Credit Scores

I was just reading a bulletin from Freddie Mac dated July 8, 2008 that described their new fee structure as it concerns conventional loans. This does not affect FHA/VA and certain other type special loans. For those of you who don’t know who Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae is they are the entities that buy a whole lot of mortgages on the secondary market.  What Freddie says goes. I think most loan officers will agree with that statement. In fact Fannie said today they are going along with the fee increases. Anyway these fees are based on a matrix that involves both loan-to-value and CREDIT SCORES. When the original buyers (that’s you) credit score is lower and the down payment is lower the fees go up. In some cases they go way up. In addition there is a sort of punishment factor as I will call it built in to the matrix. This punishment factor will increase fees for those who put down just 20% and avoid mortgage insurance.  You may save on your mortgage insurance but because of what happened in the past there is this punishment factor and your fees will increase until your down payment hits about 30%.

From what I was told by my friendly loan officer these increased fees may be passed along in the form of higher interest rates rather than fees paid at closing. But either way it is more money out of your pocket. You may ask at what point the fees become reasonable. In looking at the matrix and realizing that most of us ordinary people do not have gobs of cash laying around for a HUGE down payment the best deal is between 5% to 10% down and a credit score of 720+. PLEASE remember that you need to consult a licensed and well informed loan officer to explain this to you as each situation will be different. There are consequences involving interest rates, origination fees etc that only they can truly explain to you.
My point in telling you about these increased fees is that your CREDIT SCORE matters now MORE THAN EVER! I firmly believe that in looking at these new numbers and these increased fees that will probably result in higher interest rates that if you have a credit score of less than 660 you are better off paying for credit restoration/improvement than paying the fees. Thirty years with an interest rate .25% higher can be a big amount of money.
Is this still a good time to buy a home? Yes it is. It is a great time to do just that. Can you still get a loan with credit scores less than 660? Yes you can. Can you get a loan with a credit score of 620? Probably. But I ask you…what will the cost be versus improving your credit for as little as $995 and receiving a whole lot of other benefits besides credit improvement. If you have any question please shoot me an email or comment. I will direct you to some good resources on credit improvement. And remember please consult with a licensed and informed mortgage officer for a full appraisal of your situation.

 Freddie Mac Guidelines

0 commentsRon Wickes • August 13 2008 05:33PM

Market Stats - Houston-Baytown-Sugarland MSA

Where does the Houston area real estate market currently stand and what does the future hold? Let's take a look at what PMI and its' Market Risk Index says at this time. All figures quoted are for the Houston-Baytown-Sugarland MSA.

The PMI Market Risk Index for our area is <1>That means that there is a less than 1% chance that home prices will be lower two years from now. I don't think you can beat that score. A great indication that now is the time to buy.
 
 
 
 
Our areas Volatility rating is 1.78. This means there is a very low risk of future price declines based on price appreciation over the last five years. Another rating that shows how good this market should be. It is still a great time to buy real estate.
 
The Price Appreciation number at the end of the first quarter of '08 was 4.38. A high number in this area means that prices are accelerating to rapidly and therefore the higher the risk of future price declines. This quarters number compares to a 6.43 at the end of '07. These two numbers taken together mean that our market was never really out of whack and have stabilized even more. Our area numbers continue to look good.
 
Our Affordability Index stood at 133.62 at the end of the first quarter '08. This means that current home prices measured against a 1995 baseline are more affordable when utilizing per capita area income. Our end of the year index was 133.96 which indicates a very minor increase in home prices or drop in per capita income. This is just another indicator that now is a great time to buy.
 
In my humble opinion if you take all of these numbers together the current situation for the Houston-Baytown-Sugarland area housing market is good. The numbers indicate no surprises on the horizon. I think we are safe in assuming that we are in a stable and healthy real estate market. I have included a link below that will take you to the entire report. PS: If a successful women logo shows up in this blog rather than a buy now logo it is the computers fault!
 
If you have any questions about our areas market please drop me a comment or email.
Thanks and I hope you have a great day.
Ron
 
0 commentsRon Wickes • August 13 2008 12:30PM